China is fast moving to secure a global supply chain of uranium, in order to feed a massive nuclear power investment over the next decade.
This week, a major deal was signed between Canadian multi-national uranium miner Cameco and the China Nuclear International Corporation
Cameco (TSX: CCO; NYSE: CCJ) said it officially signed the uranium supply agreement with China Nuclear International Corporation, a subsidiary of China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC), one of the country’s largest nuclear power operators.
“China is counting on nuclear energy to play a major role in its commitment to achieve net-zero emissions, and CNNC is a large and growing part of that effort,” said Cameco president and CEO Tim Gitzel.
“Cameco is very pleased to continue increasing our contribution toward the attainment of China’s important climate goals.”
The deal raises serious questions on how once reliable uranium supply could be taken away from North American, European and APAC fuel buyers.
The market for uranium is typically price inelastic, with nuclear power fuel buyers coming to market as needs arise for long-term contract deals.
However, the supply pressures for the market keep building.
With uranium prices surging dramatically to 15-year highs in recent weeks sitting around US$74.50 per pound, the Cameco-China deal places more urgency on nuclear fuel buyers to secure long-term deals sooner.
“There are very few reliable uranium suppliers in the world,” CEO & Co-Founder of Gryphon Mining said.
“Especially those in politically safe jurisdictions. In a rising uranium price environment, China has likely secured a substantial portion of some of the most dependable production available. The available supply side of the uranium equation likely shrunk significantly today,” he said.
A chart posted to X by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend, using World Nuclear Association data, demonstrates the future nuclear energy demand China is outlaying in coming years.
Anyone know where to find an up-to-date version of this graphic?
— Erik Townsend 🛢️ (@ErikSTownsend) October 29, 2023
WNA has in-service and under construction stats on their site but I can't find planned and proposed data on WNA.
Updated chart = ideal, but source for data to make my own would work too. cc: @energybants pic.twitter.com/0oMlu7Oqfm
In April 2023, Chinese central government planners announced nuclear power capacity will grow some 652% to 400 gigawatts by 2060.
China’s State-owned nuclear power group CGN Chairman Changli suggested China would produce 18% of its electricity from nuclear by 2060.
15 new nuclear power stations are under construction or planned for construction over the next decade.